Tiro Federal Rosario vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
TFE
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TFE
0 - 5
9DJ
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SLP
1 - 0
TFE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TFE
0 - 0
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 0
TFE
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
9DJ
1 - 1
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
SLP
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
ALV
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 0
CAI
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |