Tire 2021 vs Muğlaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1133%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
16º
11º
31
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tire 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
3 - 1
TIR
76%
16%
8%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
KEL
14%
19%
67%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 0
CAY
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 2
MUL
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KST
2 - 2
MUL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MUL
2 - 2
BUR
17%
24%
59%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
KAR
4 - 0
MUL
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |