Tire 2021 vs Çayelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
14º
16º
14º
2
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 61 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 46 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
73% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tire 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 0
MUL
11%
16%
73%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
3 - 1
TIR
76%
16%
8%
|
6 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
KEL
14%
19%
67%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
2 - 2
YAS
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 0
CAY
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 0
SIL
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
RIZ
4 - 0
CAY
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -4 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
CAY
5 - 1
KAR
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |