Tire 2021 vs Balikesirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1054%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
16º
12º
39
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 57 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 77% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tire 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SEK
1 - 0
TIR
73%
17%
10%
|
11 | 52 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 0
TIR
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
BEY
0 - 3
TIR
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
CAY
15%
18%
68%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YAS
1 - 1
TIR
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Balikesirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAY
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
YAS
2 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
BAL
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
MUL
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |