Buca FK vs Yeşil Bursa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 1
TIR
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 2
ZON
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
ZON
2 - 1
TIR
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Yeşil Bursa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
OYA
2 - 1
ERB
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
OYA
1 - 0
KAR
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAZ
1 - 1
OYA
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
OYA
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OYA
1 - 0
KIR
48%
27%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |