Buca FK vs Turgutluspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TIR
3 - 1
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TEP
1 - 2
TIR
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
YEN
4 - 0
TIR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
TIR
1 - 0
YEN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TIR
4 - 2
ANA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 0
YEN
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BSK
2 - 2
TUR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 1
KIR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
146
0 - 1
TUR
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUY
5 - 1
TUR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |