Buca FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
1 - 1
TIR
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TIR
4 - 2
ANK
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
TIR
0 - 1
NSG
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
NSG
0 - 0
TIR
42%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
YOM
1 - 3
TIR
17%
25%
58%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nazilli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NAZ
5 - 1
BAT
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MUL
1 - 1
NAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
NAZ
1 - 0
ERG
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
ERG
2 - 0
NAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 4
NAZ
6%
19%
75%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | -1 |