Buca FK vs Manisaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
YAK
0 - 3
TIR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TIR
3 - 3
ERZ
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SYS
0 - 2
TIR
35%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TIR
3 - 1
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ANK
0 - 1
TIR
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manisaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 4
SIL
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
KAR
3 - 1
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
SER
10%
16%
75%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | +5 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
YOR
3 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 3
SUL
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |