Buca FK vs Çatalca Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OYA
1 - 2
TIR
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
DAR
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
TIR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
TIR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
HEA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Çatalca Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 2
ERB
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAZ
1 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
BOD
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DUZ
3 - 2
CAT
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |