UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Tiraspol vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
TIR
2 - 0
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
TIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 0
TIR
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 1
POL
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SHF
2 - 1
TIR
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
POG
0 - 0
LPO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
LPO
1 - 2
OWD
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 2
LPO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LPO
4 - 1
DYS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GKS
1 - 1
LPO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |