Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 2-3
KF Tirana vs Progresul Bucureşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
TIR
4 - 1
ERZ
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
SHK
0 - 1
TIR
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
TIR
2 - 2
DIN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
TEU
0 - 1
TIR
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
TIR
4 - 2
TOM
73%
17%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Progresul Bucureşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
PRO
2 - 1
FCM
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
AST
0 - 1
PRO
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPO
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2002 |
FAR
0 - 3
PRO
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |