Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
KF Tirana vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TIR
3 - 2
LAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
TIR
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 4
TIR
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 2
TEU
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 1
TIR
18%
27%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 0
TEU
21%
28%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EGN
4 - 1
KRU
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 4
TIR
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VLZ
0 - 1
KRU
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRU
0 - 1
TIR
18%
27%
56%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |