Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
KF Tirana vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
4 - 0
TIR
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
LIN
2 - 1
TIR
41%
23%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
TIR
1 - 0
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 0
TIR
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TIR
2 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
2 - 1
MJÄ
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
4 - 0
TIR
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
GEF
1 - 0
HIF
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
3 - 0
GÖT
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
HIF
1 - 2
AIK
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |