Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-5
KF Tirana vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
TIR
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
ZTE
0 - 1
TIR
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TIR
0 - 0
ZTE
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
KFS
2 - 2
TIR
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
TIR
3 - 2
DIN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
TIR
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 1
RJC
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
RJC
0 - 2
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |