Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
KF Tirana vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
BES
3 - 2
TIR
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 2
BYL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
KFS
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
VLZ
1 - 0
TIR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 1
FCS
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 0
ZET
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 0
RUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIT
3 - 2
FCS
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 0
FCS
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |