KF Tirana vs KF Egnatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
8º
3º
11
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
11 | 63 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 57 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 40 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 40 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
10º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
70.5% | 85% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VLZ
2 - 2
TIR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FTK
23%
23%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 1
TIR
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EGN
2 - 1
LAÇ
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 2
EGN
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
EGN
0 - 2
VIK
21%
22%
58%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
4 - 0
EGN
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 94 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 1
EGN
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |