KF Tirana vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
8º
3º
8
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 63 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
77% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BYL
2 - 2
TIR
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 1
EGN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VLZ
2 - 2
TIR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FTK
23%
23%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 0
LAÇ
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
ELB
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 0
TEU
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 1
ELB
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |