Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Tiradentes CE vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
TIR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 1
TIR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
POT
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |