Tiradentes CE vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
TIR
35%
24%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 1
TRA
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TIR
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
FER
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
CRA
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |