Tiradentes CE vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
FOR
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
TIR
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 1
TIR
19%
22%
58%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
TIR
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 4
CEA
13%
19%
67%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 1
CRA
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 3
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |