Tineo vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tineo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
TIN
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TIN
1 - 1
URR
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
TIN
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
TIN
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TIN
1 - 4
UPL
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 2
COL
26%
25%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AST
2 - 2
LLA
28%
25%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AST
1 - 4
CEA
25%
26%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAU
3 - 0
AST
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |