Timok vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TEL
2 - 0
TIM
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 1
TIM
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
TIM
49%
28%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
TIM
2 - 0
INI
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
VOZ
4 - 1
TIM
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
BEA
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INI
1 - 1
RAD
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DVR
0 - 2
RAD
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 1
MOC
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 0
RAD
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |