Timau Basel vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
49.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COR
4 - 2
TIM
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TIM
5 - 0
SUB
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCK
4 - 1
TIM
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TIM
2 - 1
BIN
35%
21%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TIM
3 - 1
TAV
59%
19%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MUT
2 - 3
FCK
59%
19%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 3
MUT
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MUT
2 - 1
MOU
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 2
MUT
23%
19%
58%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MUT
1 - 0
LER
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |