Timau Basel vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCK
4 - 2
TIM
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TIM
0 - 1
BIE
6%
13%
82%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BER
1 - 4
TIM
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TIM
2 - 0
FCP
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LER
1 - 1
TIM
69%
16%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 3
MOU
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
BIN
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 1
MOU
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 3
ALL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GUM
3 - 2
MOU
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |