Timau Basel vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUT
2 - 3
TIM
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TIM
5 - 2
BUM
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BER
4 - 3
TIM
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TIM
1 - 0
ALL
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BIN
0 - 0
TIM
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
GRU
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
4 - 2
LER
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 2
LER
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LER
3 - 2
BUM
80%
12%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |