Tiller IL vs Stabæk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
10º
6º
28
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
91% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 42 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
67% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
ROS
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 0
TIL
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
6 - 2
STR
11%
15%
73%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +5 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 0
TIL
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 2
SKT
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
STA
8 - 0
MOS
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
STA
67%
16%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
VER
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 3
STA
25%
21%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 4
LIL
70%
16%
15%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |