Tiller IL vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 0
TIL
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 2
NES
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KFU
5 - 0
TIL
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TIL
3 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
TIL
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
MFK
2 - 1
FFK
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
LSK
0 - 3
MFK
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MFK
0 - 2
RBK
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BBS
1 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MFK
3 - 2
STB
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |