Tilbury vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
TIL
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TIL
3 - 1
STA
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 0
FFC
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAF
2 - 0
TIL
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
WIN
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CIR
3 - 0
WEL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 3
AYL
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BED
5 - 1
WEL
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STO
3 - 1
WEL
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -3 |