Tikvesh vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
54
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 0
TIK
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POB
0 - 1
TIK
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
RAB
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
TIK
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
FKS
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AIK
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -3 |