Tikvesh vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
47
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAK
3 - 0
TIK
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 0
TIK
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 1
FKS
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
19%
28%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |