North Macedonia Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Tikvesh vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
TIK
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TIK
5 - 0
PIT
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
OSO
0 - 1
TIK
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TIK
3 - 1
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
KGE
1 - 1
TIK
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAK
0 - 1
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
REN
0 - 2
SHK
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
AKP
2 - 0
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SHK
2 - 2
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |