Tikvesh vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
10º
7º
9
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
VOK
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
TIK
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TIK
5 - 1
VAN
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
GOS
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GOS
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |