Tikvesh vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
9º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
60% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
28% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
VOK
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
TIK
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TIK
5 - 1
VAN
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
GOS
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GOS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |