Tikvesh vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
42
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 1
TIK
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 1
TIK
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
TIK
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
SHK
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
TIK
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
GOS
53%
23%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 1
VOK
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 1
GOS
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |