Tikvesh vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
TIK
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
SHK
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
SHK
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 1
AKP
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
SIL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
FCS
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
VOK
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |