Tikvesh vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 3
TIK
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
AKP
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
TIK
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
AKP
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 2
GOS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 3
FCS
21%
28%
52%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 1
FCS
31%
29%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |