Tikvesh vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
9º
19
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
60% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
28% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIK
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 2
RAB
33%
30%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
TIK
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
BES
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 0
TIK
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 3
RAB
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
BES
0 - 1
AKP
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
FCS
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 3
AKP
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 1
SIL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |