Tikvesh vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
1 - 1
SIL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
4 - 1
DEP
63%
19%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
TIK
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |