Tikvesh vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
1 - 1
SIL
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
4 - 1
DEP
63%
19%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
TIK
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |