Tijuana vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
REB
1 - 0
TIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 0
IRA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 0
NEC
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
TIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 0
IRA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UDG
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |