Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
TIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 3
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAC
3 - 4
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |