Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 4-1
Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
3 - 0
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
AME
0 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |