Tijuana vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 2
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
MON
66%
22%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 2
TIJ
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
JAG
73%
19%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 1
TIJ
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 2
ORI
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 1
JAG
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |