Tijuana vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 2
TIG
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 3
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
TIJ
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
NEC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
AUR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 3
NEC
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |