Tijuana vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
1 - 1
TIJ
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CDT
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
IRA
0 - 0
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TEC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
TIJ
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
2 - 0
REB
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUE
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 2
CDT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
IRA
2 - 0
GUE
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
SAG
3 - 2
GUE
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |