Tijuana vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 2
MOR
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 3
TIJ
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 2
TIJ
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
TIJ
3 - 0
NEC
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 0
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 2
MER
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
UDG
0 - 3
TEP
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
UAT
1 - 0
TEP
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 0
UDG
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 1
IRA
51%
26%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |