Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 7-3
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TIJ
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
TIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 1
IND
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
REB
2 - 1
TIJ
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 0
ATL
61%
25%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TIJ
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
5 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |