Tijuana vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
17º
14º
8
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 33 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 31 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 31 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 29 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 24 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 24 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 22 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 20 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 19 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 19 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 19 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 17 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 12 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
8% | 41.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
26% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TIG
4 - 0
TIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TIJ
2 - 1
QRO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
AME
1 - 1
TIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TIJ
2 - 4
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
NEC
1 - 3
CAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 0
CAZ
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |