Tijarafe vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RSI
2 - 1
UDT
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
REA
1 - 3
UDT
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
UDT
1 - 2
SDT
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDT
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UDT
2 - 2
LPA
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
SDT
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 1
VER
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
VER
5 - 2
LPA
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VER
1 - 2
VSB
41%
25%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
4 - 0
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |