Tijarafe vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 0
UDT
34%
26%
40%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UDT
1 - 1
CAG
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LAG
0 - 0
UDT
51%
26%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
UDT
2 - 2
PPJ
14%
24%
62%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SDT
3 - 2
UDT
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REA
1 - 2
UDF
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CDP
1 - 0
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
REA
1 - 1
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UDV
2 - 0
REA
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
REA
2 - 2
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |