Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
TIG
29%
29%
43%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TIG
4 - 2
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 0
TIG
28%
29%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
42%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 2
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |