Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TIG
38%
29%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
MON
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |